China, Stay Vigilant

It’s looking like China’s severe social distancing policies paid off, as it passed the 5-days with no new locally transmitted cases on March 23.

A big question now is whether it’s safe to restart the economy. A new report from Imperial College London bolsters confidence, showing that even as movement within cities has started to pick up again, there hasn’t been a strong correlation with transmission. Hong Kong’s numbers tell a similar story.

However, while the signs are encouraging, it isn’t over yet. “This is not a clean bill of health,” says Crawford Kilian in H5N1: The team behind the report fears “that COVID-19 could come right back when social distancing ends—like the detonation of a second terrorist bomb after the first one has attracted rescuers to the site.”

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