Conflict and the Coronavirus

Long before COVID-19 hit, 70% of Syria’s health care workers fled the country’s civil war. Those who remain believe most critical coronavirus patients will die because of staffing shortages.  
 
While experts are hesitant to draw projections for places as unstable as Syria—the expectation is that a huge proportion of Idlib’s population will be infected.
 
Yet oddly, the WHO thinks Syria will “do better than Wuhan.” WHO gleaned its forecast for war-torn Syria based on data from Wuhan—where strict government lockdowns were put in place. And response plans are based on these assumptions.
 
Middle East Institute

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