By official numbers, India’s outbreak is ebbing while COVID-19 cases surge in the US and Europe.
- Average daily infections have fallen from ~98,000 to ~46,000
- The test positivity rate dropped from 8.6%.to 3.7%
But researchers warn that official numbers may not mean the virus is abating, but that more cases are being missed by unreliable tests. And: India’s loosened restrictions and a sense of resignation to the disease could soon send cases spiraling, says Michael Osterholm, a University of Minnesota epidemiologist .
The Quote: “India could light up like a Christmas tree in the next three or four months,” he said.
The New York Times