Calculating Risk of Death from COVID-19

Hospital doctors treating the first COVID-19 cases had no way to know how the disease would progress in any given patient. 

Now, a Johns Hopkins team has developed a risk calculator that predicts their trajectories, helping improve treatment.
 
With a range of information about the patient and previous COVID patients, the tool indicates the likelihood of disease progression to severe status or death on each of the next 7 days—suggesting intervention points and allowing hospitals to effectively allocate resources like ICU beds and ventilators.
 
“That’s the public health approach to improving the practice of medicine,” says biostatistician Scott Zeger, who helped develop the tool.

Hopkins Bloomberg Public Health Magazine

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