Russia’s COVID-19 situation is a black box, according to independent demographers and data analysts who’ve been pushed out of their posts for challenging official numbers and highlighting nonsensical patterns emerging in regional reporting.
- Official pandemic-related deaths by mid-October: 221,313
- Independent demographer Alexey Raksha’s calculation, based on excess mortality: 750,000
- The Moscow Times’ estimate: ~660,000.
Raksha was fired by the official statistical agency Rosstat last year for exposing alleged undercounting of daily deaths.
Fearful of losing their jobs, a regional official often “just draws a line by hand to flatten the curve,” he said. “They are just making up numbers, literally.”
The Washington Post