Russia’s Hidden Figures

Russia’s COVID-19 situation is a black box, according to independent demographers and data analysts who’ve been pushed out of their posts for challenging official numbers and highlighting nonsensical patterns emerging in regional reporting.  

  • Official pandemic-related deaths by mid-October: 221,313 
  • Independent demographer Alexey Raksha’s calculation, based on excess mortality: 750,000
  • The Moscow Times’ estimate: ~660,000.

 
Raksha was fired by the official statistical agency Rosstat last year for exposing alleged undercounting of daily deaths.
 
Fearful of losing their jobs, a regional official often “just draws a line by hand to flatten the curve,” he said. “They are just making up numbers, literally.”
 
The Washington Post

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